Documentary. So, I would expect more people to get lost while wearing colorful clothing rather than natural shades or camo. Daves criteria for the sample selection seem completely reasonable to me a case being unexplained is an objective fact. Its important to understand that when youre working against an intelligent adversary, they will try to use your statistical reasoning against you, not doing anything too frequently, so that you brush it all off as a mere coincidence, normal chance. It makes for good storytelling, and beyond that, its important to understand that everyone has a bias. In either of these scenarios, the result will look the same. While the logical statistical bias of unexplained cases of missing people should be to involve more cases of no obvious cause of death than what you should expect on average for all deaths (since otherwise the cases would likely be explained), the apparent failure rate of medical examiners in the Missing 411 cases still seems wildly excessive to me. Which leaves being jumped by someone or something as the most likely explanation. Even if the name was selected purely on the basis of bad feelings, it may indicate that dangerous terrain, gases, radiation, or infrasound can be found in the area. Dogs arent machines, which inevitably means they must have some sort of rate of error, some better and worse days, while scent can be affected by environmental conditions. Which sort of plays into the possibility that Dave often mentions of people dying essentially of fear, like when being kidnapped and burned by what may seem like aliens, even if it were human agents. One that I will totally use in some of my sci-fi or fantasy stories. This is why it seems very suspicious to me that in Missing 411 cases, the majority of people who are found alive have amnesia and only a minority reports something strange happening. Cherry-picking in this context would be for example assuming that Bigfoot is taking all these people, and then looking for all the cases in which the missing person seems to have been mysteriously abducted, and ONLY such cases. And thats just the first step. Finally, being associated with Bigfoot research also doesnt disqualify everything that you say about anything. How can we prove otherwise? Getting lost in a forest certainly can be a traumatic event, but exhaustion, dehydration, or hypothermia could account for hallucinations, skewed perception, or irrational behavior, but again, not so much for amnesia. If the person was targeted at home and lured out, it is virtually certain that that person was followed beforehand. The concept of a holistic detective may be a fiction invented by Douglas Adams, but the interesting aspect of his science fiction ideas is that while crazy-sounding and hilarious, they are logically consistent and potentially realistic. The dog returning back safely also makes sense in the context of human or other intelligent predation, since when someone is interested in a particular person as a target, they dont have any obvious reason to also hurt their dog (other than to make it run into the forest as a distraction). This dense forest is where three Roman Legions were massacred by Germanic tribes in 9 A.D. Which is of course reasonable in principle, especially with animals, except for the fact that it is unclear how you would do that remotely and without a trace with a human, especially a healthy adult. Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four different countries. Neurology-based research and technology would also help explain why the causes of death are so difficult to identify in many of these cases. Besides chemicals, one could make an argument for an uncommon EM, other type of radiation, or infrasound-based technologies, but nothing should be 100% reliable. At the same time, however, getting as many people to know and think about this is key, as it directly defeats the main objectives of the hypothetical adversary (remaining hidden and keeping potential targets unaware). Paulides also keeps mentioning that he doesnt question the thoroughness of the searches or the dedication and skill of the searchers, or effectiveness of canines or helicopters with FLIR. Think of it as a cosmic-level tool to bring attention of specific types of people or individuals to specific things, while hiding the act itself. They were missed by the exhaustive SAR campaign because. I guess I should look into places in the Czech Republic with our version of this, involving the word ert in the name. You may have noticed that in all that speculation, I may have cracked the case at most in the sense of creating some structural microtears in it. It's completely bizarre. gryff42. When Paulides subtitled one of his book A Sobering Coincidence, Im pretty sure that he was talking about correlations elements of the cases repeating in multiple cases. That would be bad enough if done systematically by some sort of human agency, but the inside-out clothing indicates that it really might not involve humans, or at least not exactly us, modern-day humans (insert your favorite sci-fi modifier here). In this light, it would only be strange if the person who felt unwell then traveled huge distance, which would be incongruous, or if the person was later found alive and healthy, but with no memory of what happened. From that point of view, this profile point should always be analyzed together with other variables. Hunters have been disappearing from North American wildlands for hundreds of years, many without leaving a trace. Does any of that mean that you should dismiss the evidence that hes bringing forward? Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four different countries. A good enough guess should allow you to try to force and maximize the coincidence by removing all normal ways of the expected manipulation happening naturally. If I sum it all up: This about covers what I would like to say about this subject at this moment in time. Which brings me to some espionage-related implications. The most low-tech version that I can think of, some combination of taser and GHB, would clearly be inadvisable for use on children and should kill some people. Or Spock. What I will try to do is use my social science education and research methodology expertise to try to bring some clarity into how all of the variables in these cases seem to be connected. It may even be an intelligence-type operation, specifically, which means that there could be an effort to avoid statistical detection or to obscure the true motivation by introducing false leads and using all kinds of misdirection, if not outright destruction of evidence, intimidation, or assassination. After that, the entities could have panicked, tried and failed to save him, did their best to dress him without his help (as normally, they would perhaps make him dress himself), and dumped him from the air to the top of the nearest pile, perhaps because of the absence of local natural peaks or mountains. How often you run into people with the same first name or surname as you is a function of how rare it is. Watch Missing 411 here free: https://geni.us/Missing_411Based on the books series written by David Paulides Missing 411 chronicles the unsolved yet eerily s. Which is an issue that we have already encountered with self-driving cars. Thats roughly a bit odd to the fourth power. Maybe you did notice and track them more easily because they had colorful clothing, but then, once you got them, you removed it so that it would now be harder to notice and track you carrying them. Moreover, if you could pull this off, you would want to use this technique to help someone or manipulate them without it being traceable back to you, or without it being scientifically provable that it was a communication at all. While sudden arrhythmia can account for some of the Missing 411 cases, there are just too many. Its unlikely that all such witnesses could be successfully bribed or threatened with all of the impromptu recordings being destroyed. There could also be competing goods, but lets table that for now. Its too bad that the history of these names isnt particularly well documented in the Americas, but using common sense, one would use such names for places where bad things happen, where people die or go missing, where they feel bad, or at least for remote, haunting areas. Ask Sherlock Holmes. This is also one of the profile points that may simply cause people not to be found, at all or in time to save the person, reversing the causality. Former police detective David Paulides was initially brought on to investigate the circumstances around the many mysterious disappearances - here he presents the haunting true stories of hunters experiencing . This one focuses a lot on hunters, people that typically know what they're doing in the woods / wouldn't do something stupid resulting in their disappearance. The religion and military connection may also be connected to a specific cultural grudge, but what they imply to me is that maybe any targeting would be more of an issue of neurology rather than genetics. There is some possibility, given the erratic and illogical behavior of some of the people who testified to what happened to them, that either a mental breakdown, or some sort of suggestion, hypnosis, or mind control technology are to blame. I have never heard of a single case in the history of my country of anyone going missing mysteriously while picking mushrooms. If a criminal group with the same unusual means and methods of abducting people in a forest setting is taking advantage of bad weather to kidnap and do god knows what with people in the same unusual ways, then the bad weather compromising searches should correlate more often with cases that contain other unusual elements to them than with normal cases of people going missing in a forest. With the emphasis on may. But even then, dogs can simply fail in some cases, meaning that this profile point alone is never truly a conclusive proof of something unusual going on with the case. On the other hand, there are some data points that indicate that theres something unusual going on during the disappearances with the dogs. I think the issue is that Dave by default rules out cases in which they would have made an error. Missing 411: The Hunted. Like his idea of a probability-based engine many macroscopic physical laws are only aggregates of chaotic movements and interactions going on at the subatomic level. Im really only qualified to speculate on the first question. Worldbuilder, magister, change catalyst. The German language also isnt particularly unique, as it exists on a continuum with a number of other European languages that are all similar. Also, there are virtually no big predators in the Czech Republic that would kill a man. When picking mushrooms or berries, a group of people typically stays within hearing range, which means that all you need to do to not get lost is being able to shout (or shoot, I guess). Thats why it is so important to not ignore this data, but instead compile it and look for discrepancies between the normal distribution and Missing 411 distribution of times and dates of disappearances on a large enough sample that will therefore give it sufficient statistical significance and reliability. Naturally, without any explanation as to how he got there. But back to how the specific Missing 411 accounts of the people who were found indicate organized predation. Something that could be invisible and undetectable without very specific instruments, but nevertheless entirely normal and real. Given that the smallest useful sample is about 100 people, it would have to be for a whole U.S. state at least, or for all national parks in a country, since the largest cluster in the Yosemite is currently in the 50s, I believe. Making an error on the part of Missing 411 perpetrators means that people wont go missing, that there will be evidence that will be interpreted as human crime (because what else would be a serious suspicion of the police in any scenario), or the person will see and report things that will make him or her sound mentally ill, and perhaps even diagnosed. Well, apart from the stories of people who got lost suddenly in familiar territory, but only temporarily and with full memory of the event, which means that they didnt qualify as Missing 411 cases. Then it begins to be odd. David Paulides presents the haunting true stories of hunters experiencing the unexplainable in the woods of North America. What should be done first is a comparison with the distribution of times at which people from a random non-Missing 411 sample disappear in the same areas. Dave may not be the best scientist or statistician, he may have lied or cheated in his life at least once or twice, and he was trying to find evidence for the existence of Bigfoot (plural) before he was approached to look into missing people in national parks. This is the fourth book in the blockbuster "Missing 411" series that describes unusual incidents of people that have disappeared in National Parks and forests of the world. NR. It would be an annoyingly good crime, however, as it is very difficult to prove such crime for the above-mentioned reasons. Of course, that says nothing about who these aliens are, only that theyre organized. We cant, not really, which is why this trick would be used by higher intelligences.
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